Editor’s note: Tonight is the last night to claim Disruption Investor at the lowest-possible price. At midnight, this offer will close and may not be available again in 2024. If you’re interested, go here to capitalize on this special offer.
To give you an idea of what you get when you sign up, Stephen is sharing the introduction to his January 2024 issue of Disruption Investor.
Out of fairness to paying subscribers, we can’t reveal any stock picks. But you’ll learn Stephen’s thoughts on the direction the market will take this year… and his playbook for investing in disruptive megatrends.
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Happy New Year from myself (Stephen), Chris Wood, and the whole RiskHedge team.
I hope you had a wonderful holiday break with family and friends. I certainly did.
We had Christmas dinner at my wife’s parents’ house this year. Pigs in blankets… honey-glazed ham… and sticky toffee pudding washed down with a glass of Burgundy. What’s not to like?
I don’t enjoy taking much time off, so I was back at my desk on December 27.
Kenyan marathon runner Eliud Kipchoge holds the world record time of 1:59:40. That’s 4:35 per mile… for 26 miles.
But Kipchoge never celebrates. He sees it as something sinister, something dangerous… a self-indulgent act that might derail his mindset.
I feel the same way about vacations, which is why I always cut them short. I’m lucky I’ve found work I truly enjoy.
This past year was awesome in many ways.
We bought a house here in Ireland. But it’s more of an investment, as we’re planning a big move later this year.
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My wife and I have lived on four continents. Now, we’re targeting continent #5: Asia. We’re preparing to move to the United Arab Emirates sometime in the next year.
Relocating my family out of Europe has been a big goal. I’m excited and will keep you posted.
It was also a fantastic year for the markets.
The S&P 500 jumped 24%, and our Disruption Investor portfolio performed even better. We finished the year up 50%—more than 2X the return of the S&P.
Wall Street strategists expected stocks to FALL this year. Not us. We stuck to our strategy: Investing in great businesses profiting from disruption. And it paid off.
2023 was also a “win” for the world:
Future’s bright!
I recently sat down with one of my heroes, Matt Ridley. His book, The Rational Optimist: How Prosperity Evolves, changed my life. It helped me see what was right with the world instead of getting bogged down in the constant doom and gloom.
Matt and I are optimistic because of the entrepreneurs who continue to innovate and improve our lives. Everything great was built by someone. And thanks to the stock market, we can piggyback on their successes by investing in their companies.
While 2024 is setting up to be another great year, I’ve learned to expect the unexpected.
Everyone and their mother thought stocks were going to fall in 2023. We took the other side of that bet and made a lot of money. Now, it’s time for some prudence.
With the S&P 500 inches away from new highs, I see a lot of people getting very bullish. Speaking from experience, that makes me nervous.
Our research suggests 2024 could be rockier than last year. The biggest “known” risk is the US presidential election.
This will be the most extraordinary US election ever, and not in a good way. Prepare to be depressed by the rhetoric, especially heading into November. This will likely weigh on the national psyche. Investors will go “risk-off.”
I wouldn’t be surprised if stocks sell off heading into November’s political “Super Bowl.”
For perspective, stocks typically go up in election years. Since 1928, US stocks were positive 90% of the time—gaining 11%, on average.
Our research suggests this time could be different.
This is a great time to get rid of any stocks you’re unsure of.
Imagine something crazy happens, like one of the presidential candidates gets assassinated or inflation jumps back to 10%… and stocks plunge.
Own businesses you wouldn’t be afraid to buy in these highly unlikely scenarios: Stocks you’re happy holding regardless of what happens.
But while the going is good, it may be time to sell that stock you only “kinda, sorta” like.
We’re preparing for potential volatility by continuing to own only great businesses profiting from disruptive megatrends.
These are great disruptors that will sail through stormy seas. They don’t care about volatility. They get after it and stay after it.
My advice: Focus on great businesses; take profits on everything else.
Whatever 2024 has in store for us, Chris and I will be here to guide you every step of the way.
Stephen McBride
Chief Analyst, RiskHedge
PS: Speaking of great businesses... In our February issue of Disruption Investor, which will publish tomorrow, Chris and I are recommending an AI stock raking in cash from the AI infrastructure spending boom.
Its revenue grew 22% in the past year. And without its tech, companies like Nvidia (one of its partners) wouldn’t exist. This stock actually outperformed Nvidia last year and could do it again this year, for reasons we explain in the issue...
To make sure you don’t miss it, go here.
At that page, you’ll see all your membership benefits—including your $100 off discount—which expires at midnight tonight. Click here for details.